WHERE GEOPOLITICS MEETS THE MARKETS.
Independent analysis. Built from the data up, not the narrative down.
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Two decades of treating productive capacity as a permanent inheritance has left the US with a revival programme it cannot equip, cannot staff, and cannot research its way out of.
The Treasury market has stopped being a market between strangers.
21 incidents across 8 countries, running at roughly 3× the annualised global baseline, and the most interesting reading is neither sabotage nor coincidence.
Six weeks of war exposed a pattern that was always there.
Eight days from a central bank meeting where every clean exit has already been closed.
The headline number every research desk quotes. Four layers of architecture keeping it there.